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War → Nuclear War → Nuclear Treaties



Are we limiting the spread of nuclear weapons?



JF Kennedy signs the Partial Nuclear Test Ban Treaty in July 1963

JF Kennedy signs the Partial Nuclear Test Ban Treaty in July 1963

Source: history.com. See: https://www.history.com/topics/us-presidents/john-f-kennedy#&pid=signing-the-nuclear-test-ban-treaty




List of Principal Treaties



TreatySignedEntry into forceCountriesObjective
Partial Nuclear Test Ban Treaty5 August 196310 October 1963126 countriesBan all nuclear weapons tests,
except those underground
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT)1 July 19685 March 1970191 countriesPrevent nuclear proliferation
Promote nuclear disarmament
Promote peaceful uses of nuclear energy
Threshold Test Ban Treaty3 July 197411 December 1990  US & USSRBan tests greater than 150 Kt
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT)10 September 1996Not in Force176 countriesBan all nuclear weapons tests
Strategic Arms Limitation Talks (SALT I & II)26 May 1972, 18 June 1979  US & USSRLimit the number of strategic ballistic missile launchers
Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START I)31 July 19915 December 1994US & USSRLimit the number of deployed
nuclear warheads to 6.000 and ICBMs to 1,600
New START8 April 20105 February 2011US and RussiaLimit the number of deployed strategic nuclear
warheads to 1,550 bombers to 700
and missile tubes to 800
Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW)  20 September 2017  22 January 202168 countries  Comprehensively ban all nuclear weapons


For a full list of Treaties See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_weapons_of_mass_destruction_treaties



There have been many attempts to control the use and build-up of nuclear weapons. Perhaps the most successful have been the Partial and Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaties. As of 1996 most nuclear testing has been altered, The Ban, however is not universally accepted. Of the nuclear powers, France and the UK have both signed and ratified the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty (CTBT). Russia, China, Israel and the USA have signed but not ratified, while India, Pakistan and North Korea have neither signed nor ratified. It is likely that these last three countries may continue testing at some point in the future and indeed North Korea has already done so.

The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), which prohibits the spread of nuclear weapons while promting the peaceful use of nuclear power, has also been very successful. As of 2015, 190 states are recognised as parties to the treaty, including the US, Russia, China, France and the UK. However, India, Israel, and Pakistan have never signed the treaty, while North Korea was a party to the treaty but announced its withdrawal on 10 January 2003.

Strategic arms limitation/reduction talks between the US and USSR/Russia (SALT & START Treaties) have also substantially reduced the numer of nuclear warheads aimed at each other (see graphic below), but in my opinion, even at the current reduced levels, each country still has the capacity to easily destroy the other!

How US and Russian nuclear arsenals have evolved

How US and Russian nuclear arsenals have evolved

Source: The Institute for Peace and Diplomacy. See: https://peacediplomacy.org/2020/10/23/rethinking-nuclear-arms-control-for-a-multipolar-world/



Finally we have the treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons, which came into force 22 January 2021, and which is, in itself, is a worthy ideal but one that is unlikely to be adopted by any of the main nuclear powers. In fact, only South Africa, has ever returned from the brink, so to speak, by ending its nuclear weapons development programme and dissmantling its stockpile of nuclear weapons.



Treaty on the Prohiition of Nuclear Weapons

Treaty on the Prohiition of Nuclear Weapons

Source: Wikipedia. See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_on_the_Prohibition_of_Nuclear_Weapons

Green - state parties, yellow - states that have signed




Conclusions

At least we have come some way in limiting the growth and spread of nuclear weapons but there is still a long way to go!




References


Wikipedia, List of weapons of mass destruction treaties. See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_weapons_of_mass_destruction_treaties


Wikipedia, List of parties to the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty. See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_parties_to_the_Comprehensive_Nuclear-Test-Ban_Treaty


Wikipedia, List of parties to the NPT. See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_parties_to_the_Treaty_on_the_Non-Proliferation_of_Nuclear_Weapons


United Nations, Treaty on the prohibition of nuclear weapons. See: https://disarmament.unoda.org/wmd/nuclear/tpnw/


Wikipedia, Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons. See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_on_the_Prohibition_of_Nuclear_Weapons





This Document



Version 1, 10 July 2024